Post by Kim Powers on Aug 2, 2012 15:36:08 GMT -5
He's in a pretty good spot right now. He definitely has the original Gwad on his side and I could see the other side potentially reaching out to him as well. He knows what he is doing and he knows what plan he wants to take going forward. His plan is to play both sides and if used correctly, that is a great plan. Seeing how much the two sides hate each other, I don't see either side finding out that this is his plan. If that is the case, I could see him sneaking into the finals. However, I do think he will have to pick a side eventually and I think it will be the original Gwad.
prediction: 5th place
I'm having a hard time grasping where he could end up. He definitely has the ammo and the allies to make it very far. He has an idol that most people are starting to catch onto and if he uses it right, it could be his ticket into the finals. However, I'm not completely sure if I trust that he can use it right. The other side sees him as the leader, which will put a target on his back early in the merge. If he is as close to Kourtney as he says, then they should have the numbers going into the merge at 6-5 with Ace also siding with them. If that's the case, then Bob is someone that I can see making the finals, just as long as he makes it passed these first few rounds of the merge.
prediction: 2nd place
Coach is an interesting character. He is trying so hard to not make himself seem like a huge threat, when in reality, he actually is. He and Mary definitely portray themselves as the leader of their alliance and I think the other side notices that. A lot of people want Coach gone because they know how much of a threat he is. Because of that, I don't see him lasting very long. He is the leader of an alliance that I feel is down in numbers, without the help of Kourtney & Ace. Whenever that happens, that person is usually one of the next to go. I would say that he is probably the first boot at the merge, but there seems to be so much Eliza hate that I think she will be booted first.
prediction: 10th place
Like I said in the paragraph about Ace, there seems to be a lot of Eliza hate going around. I know Ted had specifically mentioned wanting her out first because she is barely around and he just doesn't like her. Its clear that she wants to stick with the tribe that she's been with the entire game, which I cannot blame her for. But she does not seem to have the right connections going into this merge and I don't see her getting passed this round, unless she wins immunity of course. Her having a fake idol is kind of amusing though, since she thinks its legit. I hope she plays it before she is voted out because that would make it so much better.
prediction: 11th place
Jay is playing the ultimate UTR game right now. NO ONE sees him as a threat. Sometimes I even forget he is playing because of how little he's talked about, but that doesn't necessarily mean he is playing a bad game. He has one of the two idols and as far as I know, only Ace and Ted know that he has it. I don't think many people would suspect him to have it since he only went to the Salsus once. He is very close to Ted and Ace, but is also aligned with Judd and Bob. I can see him going far, but I don't think he has made much of an impact at this point to win if he makes the finals. I don't think he'll make the finals though, falling just short.
prediction: 4th place
Oh Judd. I'm not really sure what to think about him. He definitely is someone who has made himself known in this game, though, not for the best reasons. He made a lot of noise when he found out Bob had the idol, which I don't blame him. However, that didn't really sit well with Bob. I think before that, he was Bob's clear number 1 ally. Now, it doesn't seem that way. Ted has even said that he was getting annoyed with Judd in a recent confessional. A lot of people seem to really dislike him, especially Kelly. That could lead to Judd being an early target and I think the other side will target either him or Bob in the first few rounds of the merge. Like Bob, if Judd can survive those few rounds, then he can go far. He won't win, because he is so disliked by the other side and his own side has found him annoying lately. He'll come close though.
prediction: 3rd place
Kelly is definitely the head bitch of this season. She does not like very many people and she makes that pretty known to us. She is a strong member of the Des 5 but she has taken a backseat to Mary and Coach at times it seems. That may be a good thing for her for now, because she won't be the first target at the merge. She's not necessarily disliked, she just dislikes everyone. She compared herself to Sandra in HvV and I can kind of see that tbh. She says that her and Kourtney are close and might want to hook up with her going forward. Mary has mentioned that she may want to take Kelly out just so those rumors die. I don't see that happening though because it would be stupid for Mary. To me, it just seems like Kelly is on the wrong side of the numbers to make anything happen. She'll survive a few rounds, but I don't see her making it to the end.
prediction: 8th place
In my opinion, Kourtney is like Ace right now, just a dumber version. And I'm not saying Kourtney is dumb, I just think Ace knows what he is doing more than Kourtney does. I think those two need each other right now and its pretty clear that Kourtney is the swing vote. She will have to decide which side she thinks is best for her to get to the end. She went from being hated by everyone to potentially being the most crucial vote. I think she will side with Gwad since she has ties to Bob and she knows he has an idol. That would be a good move for her now, but down the road she won't get to top 5 just because of how close Gwad is.
prediction: 6th place
Mary is the other leader of the Des 5. She has been vocal all game to both sides and everyone knows where she stands. Her and Coach are a clear F2 alliance and everyone knows that. She will definitely stick with her side and I don't see her taking out Kelly like she said she might. That would be stupid for her. She is already on the wrong end of the numbers in my opinion. I don't see her lasting long, since she really has no ties with anyone on the other side. Once Coach is gone, the main priority will be to get Mary out and I think that will happen.
prediction: 9th place
He really has not done much of anything this game. He is usually a really good player, but I guess this isn't the best time for him right now. It doesn't seem like he has talked to many people and he is just part of the Des 5 just by association. I think he will be the last of that alliance left standing, but just because he is the least threatening to Gwad. Bob had talked about maybe wanting Mike out first since he doesn't deserve to be here, but at this point, its people like Mike that you want to keep around until you HAVE to vote him out. He posses no threat and I think his best strategy would be to just keep up with what he has been doing.
prediction: 7th place
My favorite to win the game. This guy has really stepped his game up since season 1. He has good ties with everyone in his alliance considering that all want to take him to the end. He labeled himself as the biggest threat, and I believe it. The thing that makes him a threat is that no one sees him as one. He will continue to be part of everything that Gwad does and no one will realize it. The other side is focused on getting out Bob & Judd when in reality, Ted is the one they need to worry about. If Gwad stays intact for the first few rounds of the merge, then I don't see how Ted won't win. Everyone in his alliance will want to bring him to the end if they reach F5 and I'm not sure that any of them will realize that he has F2's with them all. I see him & Bob making the end and him beating Bob. If its a final 3 then I see Judd being in there as well but not recieving any votes.
prediction: winner
So here is the order that I think it will be going forward:
11th: Eliza
10th: Coach
9th: Mary
8th: Kelly
7th: Mike
6th: Kourtney
5th: Ace
4th: Jay
3rd: Judd
2nd: Bob
1st: Ted
